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Updated 4 days ago

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▲ +0.2%1W
Yes 2¢No 99¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$8M

24h vol.

$36.263

1w vol.

$58.7K

1m vol.

$799.4K

Liquidity

$361.6K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$4,521
1¢$1,065
1¢$6,236
1¢$37,058
1¢$43,722
1¢$6,667
1¢$14,181
0¢$27,203
0¢$35,833
0¢$97,735
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$20
2¢$2,287
2¢$4,562
2¢$22
2¢$599
2¢$4,667
2¢$1,234
2¢$3,000
2¢$4,732
3¢$21,929

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoSell1¢250
4 days agoBuy1¢179
4 days agoBuy1¢63
4 days agoBuy1¢7
4 days agoBuy99¢10
4 days agoBuy1¢10
4 days agoSell99¢0
4 days agoSell1¢0
4 days agoSell99¢2
4 days agoSell1¢2
4 days agoBuy99¢6
4 days agoBuy1¢6
4 days agoBuy99¢2
4 days agoBuy1¢2
4 days agoSell99¢0
4 days agoSell2¢0
4 days agoSell99¢1
4 days agoSell2¢1
4 days agoBuy99¢1
4 days agoBuy1¢1
4 days agoSell99¢0
4 days agoSell2¢0
4 days agoSell99¢1
4 days agoSell2¢1
4 days agoBuy99¢1
4 days agoBuy1¢1
4 days agoSell99¢0
4 days agoSell2¢0
4 days agoSell99¢1
4 days agoSell2¢1
4 days agoBuy99¢1
4 days agoBuy1¢1
4 days agoSell99¢0
4 days agoSell2¢0
4 days agoBuy1¢4,156
4 days agoSell2¢3,617
4 days agoSell2¢489
4 days agoSell1¢10
4 days agoSell1¢40
4 days agoSell99¢1
4 days agoSell1¢1
4 days agoSell99¢0
4 days agoSell1¢0
4 days agoSell99¢1
4 days agoSell1¢1
4 days agoBuy99¢1
4 days agoBuy1¢1
4 days agoBuy99¢1
4 days agoBuy1¢1
5 days agoBuy99¢3

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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