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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0 %
chance
Presidential Election Winner 2028
50 outcomes- JD Vance20 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13 %
- Jon Ossoff10 %
- Gavin Newsom9 %
- Marco Rubio8 %
- Kamala Harris4 %
- Josh Shapiro3 %
- Pete Buttigieg3 %
- Ron DeSantis2 %
- Andy Beshear2 %
- Tucker Carlson2 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2 %
- James Talarico2 %
- Donald Trump1 %
- Mark Kelly1 %
- Raphael Warnock1 %
- Wes Moore1 %
- Ro Khanna1 %
- Thomas Massie1 %
- JB Pritzker1 %
- Rahm Emanuel1 %
- Ted Cruz1 %
- Ivanka Trump1 %
- Donald Trump Jr.1 %
- Jamie Dimon0 %
- Gretchen Whitmer0 %
- Tulsi Gabbard0 %
- Greg Abbott0 %
- Elon Musk0 %
- Michelle Obama0 %
- Glenn Youngkin0 %
- Tom Cotton0 %
- Alex Padilla0 %
- Tim Scott0 %
- Nikki Haley0 %
- Adam Schiff0 %
- Stephen Smith0 %
- Tim Walz0 %
- Eric Trump0 %
- Elissa Slotkin0 %
- Abigail Spanberger0 %
- Pete Hegseth0 %
- Zohran Mamdani0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Doug Burgum0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Candace Owens0 %
- John N. Kennedy0 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy0 %
- Jalen Brunson0 %
Total volume
$10.4M
24h vol.
$1.4
1w vol.
$1.4
1m vol.
$55.4K
Liquidity
$1.3M
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 8, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 67 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 67 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 11,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,150 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 196 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12,654 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 73 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 73 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 32 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 32 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 68 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 68 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 64 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 64 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 63 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 63 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 38 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12 |
◆ Smart money
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.