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Updated 3 min. ago
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics
12 %
chance
▼ −0.1%24h▼ −1.4%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢
Presidential Election Winner 2028
50 outcomes- JD Vance20 %
- Marco Rubio12 %
- Gavin Newsom12 %
- Jon Ossoff9 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9 %
- Kamala Harris5 %
- Josh Shapiro3 %
- Pete Buttigieg2 %
- Donald Trump2 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2 %
- Ron DeSantis2 %
- Tucker Carlson1 %
- Donald Trump Jr.1 %
- Ro Khanna1 %
- Thomas Massie1 %
- Andy Beshear1 %
- Wes Moore1 %
- Greg Abbott1 %
- Gretchen Whitmer1 %
- Glenn Youngkin1 %
- James Talarico1 %
- Elon Musk1 %
- Jamie Dimon1 %
- Michelle Obama1 %
- JB Pritzker1 %
- Nikki Haley1 %
- Ivanka Trump1 %
- Pete Hegseth0 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy0 %
- Zohran Mamdani0 %
- Tulsi Gabbard0 %
- Eric Trump0 %
- Stephen Smith0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Elissa Slotkin0 %
- Tom Cotton0 %
- Mike Johnson0 %
- Rick Scott0 %
- Abigail Spanberger0 %
- Jalen Brunson0 %
- Doug Burgum0 %
- Alex Padilla0 %
- Hakeem Jeffries0 %
- Josh Stein0 %
- Tim Scott0 %
- Tim Walz0 %
- John N. Kennedy0 %
- Candace Owens0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Adam Schiff0 %
Total volume
$17.6M
24h vol.
$12.3K
1w vol.
$49.4K
1m vol.
$335.6K
Liquidity
$448.2K
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 12¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
12¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 7, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
12¢$2,238
12¢$2,329
11¢$1,077
11¢$800
11¢$400
11¢$500
11¢$715
11¢$1,020
11¢$3,200
11¢$5,308
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$8,521
12¢$10,827
12¢$3,675
12¢$9,896
12¢$2,962
12¢$458
12¢$1,161
12¢$1,578
13¢$658
13¢$3,513
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 45%Sells 55%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 36 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 35 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 36 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 36 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1,995 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 74 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 17 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 1,244 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 6 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 549 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 27 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 27 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 93 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 93 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 34 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 34 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 11 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 3 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 3 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 3 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 3 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 58 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 58 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 85 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 85 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 10 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 500 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 500 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 39 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 39 |
| 14 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 39 |
| 14 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 39 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 258 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 258 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 9 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 9 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 844 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 844 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1,244 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 1,244 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 7 |
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