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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$391K

24h vol.

$5K

1w vol.

$5K

1m vol.

$28K

Liquidity

$1.6M

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$394,545
0¢$893,431
0¢$50,000
0¢$43,069
1¢$40,080
1¢$91
1¢$18
1¢$10,001
2¢$117
3¢$30,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12,820
2 mo. agoSell0¢12,820
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10,166
2 mo. agoSell0¢10,166
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10,001
2 mo. agoSell0¢10,001
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9,919
2 mo. agoSell0¢9,919
2 mo. agoSell0¢89,779
2 mo. agoBuy0¢300
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢1,193
2 mo. agoBuy0¢25
2 mo. agoBuy0¢1,261
2 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢60,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoSell100¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoSell100¢23
2 mo. agoSell0¢23
2 mo. agoBuy100¢23
2 mo. agoBuy0¢23
2 mo. agoSell100¢114
2 mo. agoSell0¢114
2 mo. agoBuy100¢114
2 mo. agoBuy0¢114
2 mo. agoSell100¢38
2 mo. agoSell0¢38
2 mo. agoBuy100¢38
2 mo. agoBuy0¢38
2 mo. agoSell100¢27
2 mo. agoSell0¢27
2 mo. agoBuy100¢27
2 mo. agoBuy0¢27
2 mo. agoSell100¢58
2 mo. agoSell0¢58
2 mo. agoSell100¢13
2 mo. agoSell0¢13
2 mo. agoBuy100¢13
2 mo. agoBuy0¢13
2 mo. agoSell100¢15
2 mo. agoSell0¢15
2 mo. agoBuy100¢15
2 mo. agoBuy0¢15

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.