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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$1.6M

24h vol.

$84

1w vol.

$10.5K

1m vol.

$92.6K

Liquidity

$1.7M

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$78,735
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$223,540
0¢$1,043,907
0¢$252,949
1¢$50,892
1¢$40,000
1¢$18
2¢$91
2¢$50,050
2¢$7
3¢$50

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell100¢9
2 wk. agoSell0¢9
2 wk. agoBuy100¢5
2 wk. agoBuy0¢5
2 wk. agoBuy100¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1,476
2 wk. agoSell0¢5
2 wk. agoSell0¢1,471
2 wk. agoBuy0¢12,500
2 wk. agoSell0¢1,664
2 wk. agoSell0¢10,836
2 wk. agoBuy0¢10,000
2 wk. agoSell0¢94
2 wk. agoSell0¢9,906
2 wk. agoSell100¢11
2 wk. agoSell0¢11
2 wk. agoSell100¢6
2 wk. agoSell0¢6
2 wk. agoSell100¢6
2 wk. agoSell0¢6
2 wk. agoSell100¢71
2 wk. agoSell0¢71
2 wk. agoBuy0¢4,623
2 wk. agoSell0¢114
2 wk. agoSell0¢31
2 wk. agoSell0¢69
2 wk. agoSell0¢4,409
2 wk. agoSell100¢3
2 wk. agoSell0¢3
3 wk. agoBuy0¢2,500
3 wk. agoSell0¢2,500
3 wk. agoBuy0¢750
3 wk. agoSell0¢750
3 wk. agoBuy0¢9,190
3 wk. agoSell0¢36
3 wk. agoSell0¢1,854
3 wk. agoSell0¢33
3 wk. agoSell0¢1,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢1,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢5,267
3 wk. agoSell100¢4
3 wk. agoSell0¢4
3 wk. agoSell100¢5
3 wk. agoSell0¢5
3 wk. agoSell100¢67
3 wk. agoSell0¢67
3 wk. agoSell100¢10
3 wk. agoSell0¢10
3 wk. agoSell100¢92

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