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Updated 22 hr. ago

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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4 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$9.3M

24h vol.

$16.9K

1w vol.

$71.2K

1m vol.

$250.1K

Liquidity

$347.7K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 4¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$2,059
4¢$226
4¢$503
4¢$2,554
4¢$1,937
4¢$3,601
4¢$2,839
4¢$2,100
3¢$4,038
3¢$1,543
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$6,742
5¢$1,736
5¢$2,246
5¢$13,902
5¢$30,364
5¢$222
5¢$3,737
5¢$2,000
5¢$1,457
6¢$1,505

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
23 hr. agoBuy96¢6
23 hr. agoBuy4¢6
1 day agoBuy96¢5
1 day agoBuy4¢5
1 day agoBuy4¢11,747
1 day agoBuy96¢3,734
1 day agoSell4¢7,593
1 day agoSell4¢420
1 day agoBuy96¢10
1 day agoBuy4¢10
1 day agoSell4¢33
1 day agoBuy4¢33
1 day agoSell96¢7
1 day agoSell4¢7
1 day agoBuy4¢1,870
1 day agoSell4¢1,780
1 day agoBuy96¢90
1 day agoBuy96¢7
1 day agoBuy4¢7
2 days agoBuy4¢9,068
2 days agoSell4¢9,067
2 days agoBuy96¢1
2 days agoBuy4¢491
2 days agoBuy96¢205
2 days agoSell4¢286
2 days agoBuy4¢230
2 days agoBuy96¢230
2 days agoBuy4¢372
2 days agoBuy96¢97
2 days agoBuy96¢274
2 days agoSell96¢7
2 days agoBuy96¢2
2 days agoBuy96¢4
2 days agoSell96¢6
2 days agoBuy96¢6
2 days agoSell4¢11,549
2 days agoBuy4¢11,100
2 days agoBuy4¢260
2 days agoBuy4¢189
2 days agoBuy4¢1,362
2 days agoBuy96¢193
2 days agoBuy96¢236
2 days agoBuy96¢225
2 days agoBuy96¢252
2 days agoBuy96¢236
2 days agoBuy96¢9
2 days agoSell4¢210
2 days agoBuy96¢8
2 days agoBuy4¢8
2 days agoBuy96¢7

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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