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Updated 3 days ago

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$789.5K

24h vol.

$205.906

1w vol.

$32.3K

1m vol.

$91.5K

Liquidity

$345.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$5,480
1¢$10,100
1¢$8,108
1¢$53,672
1¢$5,000
1¢$17,857
1¢$66,666
1¢$34,000
0¢$17,500
0¢$34,583
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$13,883
1¢$53,356
2¢$10,354
2¢$25,000
2¢$7,888
2¢$9,436
2¢$35,000
2¢$15,000
2¢$18,965
3¢$3,078

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoBuy99¢100
3 days agoBuy1¢75
3 days agoSell99¢25
4 days agoBuy1¢769
4 days agoSell1¢769
4 days agoBuy1¢821
4 days agoSell1¢821
4 days agoSell1¢5,250
4 days agoSell99¢70
4 days agoBuy1¢5,000
4 days agoSell99¢50
4 days agoSell99¢50
4 days agoSell99¢50
4 days agoBuy1¢30
4 days agoSell1¢24,000
4 days agoBuy1¢9,970
4 days agoSell99¢200
4 days agoBuy1¢11,111
4 days agoBuy1¢2,719
4 days agoBuy99¢5
4 days agoBuy1¢5
5 days agoBuy1¢100
5 days agoSell1¢100
5 days agoBuy1¢72
5 days agoSell1¢72
5 days agoSell1¢35
5 days agoBuy1¢35
5 days agoSell99¢6
5 days agoSell1¢6
5 days agoBuy99¢6
5 days agoBuy1¢6
5 days agoSell99¢6
5 days agoSell1¢6
5 days agoBuy99¢6
5 days agoBuy1¢6
6 days agoSell99¢6
6 days agoSell1¢6
1 wk. agoBuy99¢6
1 wk. agoBuy1¢6
1 wk. agoSell99¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢6
1 wk. agoBuy99¢6
1 wk. agoBuy1¢6
1 wk. agoSell99¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢6
1 wk. agoBuy99¢6
1 wk. agoBuy1¢6
1 wk. agoSell1¢5
1 wk. agoBuy1¢5
1 wk. agoBuy1¢100

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