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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$1.2M

24h vol.

$180.043

1w vol.

$41.8K

1m vol.

$519.8K

Liquidity

$564.2K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$44
0¢$173,412
0¢$50,562
0¢$546,001
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$10,061
1¢$61
1¢$18
2¢$7
3¢$1,500
3¢$10,000
3¢$100,000
3¢$11,950
4¢$100,000
4¢$100,000

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell0¢25
2 wk. agoBuy0¢18
2 wk. agoBuy1¢7
2 wk. agoBuy1¢10,047
2 wk. agoSell1¢61
2 wk. agoSell1¢9,985
2 wk. agoSell100¢15
2 wk. agoSell1¢15
2 wk. agoBuy0¢52,088
2 wk. agoSell0¢32,999
2 wk. agoSell0¢61
2 wk. agoBuy100¢32
2 wk. agoSell0¢9,063
2 wk. agoSell0¢9,933
2 wk. agoBuy100¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1
2 wk. agoBuy100¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1
2 wk. agoBuy100¢35
2 wk. agoBuy0¢35
2 wk. agoBuy100¢38
2 wk. agoBuy0¢38
2 wk. agoBuy100¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢10,067
2 wk. agoSell0¢10,067
2 wk. agoBuy0¢7,117
2 wk. agoSell0¢162
2 wk. agoSell0¢279
2 wk. agoSell0¢521
2 wk. agoSell0¢3,135
2 wk. agoSell0¢40
2 wk. agoSell0¢2,980
2 wk. agoBuy100¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢58,000
2 wk. agoSell0¢7,950
2 wk. agoSell0¢30,589
2 wk. agoSell0¢19,063
2 wk. agoBuy100¢15
2 wk. agoSell0¢384
2 wk. agoBuy100¢1
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1
2 wk. agoSell0¢139,472
2 wk. agoBuy0¢30,589
2 wk. agoBuy0¢108,883
2 wk. agoSell100¢2
2 wk. agoSell0¢2
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1,354
2 wk. agoSell0¢166

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