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Updated 7 days ago

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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3 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$8.5M

24h vol.

$6.8K

1w vol.

$37K

1m vol.

$273.6K

Liquidity

$479.7K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$2,233
3¢$33,082
3¢$50,333
2¢$14,814
2¢$10,116
2¢$19,512
2¢$11,445
2¢$64,423
2¢$3,499
2¢$6,200
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$68,393
3¢$854
3¢$10,154
3¢$2,552
3¢$15,000
3¢$21,957
4¢$19,669
4¢$20,000
4¢$11,111
4¢$31,475

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 38%Sells 62%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
7 days agoSell3¢1,000
7 days agoBuy3¢1,000
1 wk. agoSell3¢4,150
1 wk. agoBuy3¢2,053
1 wk. agoBuy3¢100
1 wk. agoBuy3¢1,997
1 wk. agoSell97¢4,150
1 wk. agoSell3¢4,150
1 wk. agoBuy97¢3,001
1 wk. agoBuy3¢3,001
1 wk. agoSell97¢6
1 wk. agoSell3¢6
1 wk. agoBuy97¢6
1 wk. agoBuy3¢2
1 wk. agoBuy3¢5
1 wk. agoSell97¢10
1 wk. agoSell3¢10
1 wk. agoBuy97¢10
1 wk. agoBuy3¢10
1 wk. agoBuy97¢5
1 wk. agoBuy3¢5
1 wk. agoSell97¢268
1 wk. agoSell3¢268
1 wk. agoBuy97¢268
1 wk. agoBuy3¢268
1 wk. agoSell97¢505
1 wk. agoSell3¢505
1 wk. agoBuy97¢505
1 wk. agoBuy3¢505
1 wk. agoSell3¢4,900
1 wk. agoBuy3¢4,900
1 wk. agoSell97¢4,900
1 wk. agoSell3¢4,900
1 wk. agoSell97¢349
1 wk. agoSell3¢349
1 wk. agoSell97¢389
1 wk. agoSell3¢389
1 wk. agoBuy97¢389
1 wk. agoBuy3¢389
1 wk. agoSell97¢283
1 wk. agoSell3¢283
1 wk. agoBuy97¢283
1 wk. agoBuy3¢283
1 wk. agoSell97¢501
1 wk. agoSell3¢501
1 wk. agoBuy97¢501
1 wk. agoBuy3¢501
1 wk. agoSell97¢437
1 wk. agoSell3¢437
1 wk. agoBuy97¢437

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