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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$1M

24h vol.

$47

1w vol.

$47

1m vol.

$17.2K

Liquidity

$2M

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$11,454
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,603,943
0¢$50,735
0¢$90,281
1¢$281
1¢$281
1¢$281
1¢$281
1¢$281
1¢$299
1¢$281

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoSell0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoSell0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy100¢12
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoSell100¢75
2 mo. agoSell0¢75
2 mo. agoBuy100¢54
2 mo. agoBuy0¢54
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500
2 mo. agoSell0¢3,050
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3,050
2 mo. agoSell0¢7,100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢7,100
2 mo. agoSell100¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢212,057
2 mo. agoBuy0¢212,057
2 mo. agoSell100¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoSell100¢5
2 mo. agoSell0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢6
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoSell0¢318
2 mo. agoBuy0¢318
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢57,520
2 mo. agoBuy0¢57,520
2 mo. agoBuy100¢18
2 mo. agoBuy0¢18
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.