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Updated 15 hr. ago

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$14.4M

24h vol.

$196.471

1w vol.

$67.1K

1m vol.

$109.5K

Liquidity

$335.1K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$1,436
2¢$5,679
1¢$24,200
1¢$272
1¢$21,373
1¢$30,838
1¢$7,911
1¢$9,722
1¢$4,122
1¢$12,857
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$5,390
2¢$24,974
2¢$6,131
2¢$4,641
2¢$3,000
3¢$3,000
3¢$1,000
3¢$4,411
3¢$2,000
3¢$4,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell98¢76
1 day agoSell2¢76
1 day agoBuy98¢61
1 day agoBuy2¢61
1 day agoBuy98¢15
1 day agoBuy2¢15
1 day agoBuy98¢26
1 day agoBuy2¢26
1 day agoSell98¢6
1 day agoSell2¢6
1 day agoBuy98¢6
1 day agoBuy2¢6
2 days agoSell2¢39,986
2 days agoBuy2¢39,986
2 days agoSell98¢8
2 days agoSell2¢8
2 days agoSell98¢7
2 days agoSell2¢7
2 days agoSell98¢92
2 days agoSell2¢92
3 days agoBuy98¢8
3 days agoBuy2¢8
3 days agoSell98¢8
3 days agoSell2¢8
3 days agoBuy98¢7
3 days agoBuy2¢7
3 days agoBuy98¢30
3 days agoBuy2¢30
3 days agoSell98¢6
3 days agoSell2¢6
3 days agoBuy98¢6
3 days agoBuy2¢6
3 days agoSell98¢108
3 days agoSell2¢108
3 days agoSell98¢109
3 days agoSell2¢109
3 days agoSell98¢203
3 days agoSell2¢203
4 days agoSell2¢2,941
4 days agoBuy2¢2,941
4 days agoSell98¢10
4 days agoSell2¢10
4 days agoSell98¢103
4 days agoSell2¢103
4 days agoSell98¢103
4 days agoSell2¢103
4 days agoBuy98¢13
4 days agoBuy2¢13
4 days agoSell2¢5,500
4 days agoBuy2¢5,500

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.