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Updated 4 days ago

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 %
chance
Presidential Election Winner 2028
50 outcomes- JD Vance20 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13 %
- Jon Ossoff10 %
- Gavin Newsom9 %
- Marco Rubio8 %
- Kamala Harris4 %
- Josh Shapiro3 %
- Pete Buttigieg3 %
- Ron DeSantis2 %
- Andy Beshear2 %
- Tucker Carlson2 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2 %
- James Talarico2 %
- Donald Trump1 %
- Mark Kelly1 %
- Raphael Warnock1 %
- Wes Moore1 %
- Ro Khanna1 %
- Thomas Massie1 %
- JB Pritzker1 %
- Rahm Emanuel1 %
- Ted Cruz1 %
- Ivanka Trump1 %
- Donald Trump Jr.1 %
- Jamie Dimon0 %
- Gretchen Whitmer0 %
- Tulsi Gabbard0 %
- Greg Abbott0 %
- Elon Musk0 %
- Michelle Obama0 %
- Glenn Youngkin0 %
- Tom Cotton0 %
- Alex Padilla0 %
- Tim Scott0 %
- Nikki Haley0 %
- Adam Schiff0 %
- Stephen Smith0 %
- Tim Walz0 %
- Eric Trump0 %
- Elissa Slotkin0 %
- Abigail Spanberger0 %
- Pete Hegseth0 %
- Zohran Mamdani0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Doug Burgum0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Candace Owens0 %
- John N. Kennedy0 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy0 %
- Jalen Brunson0 %
Total volume
$6M
24h vol.
$14K
1w vol.
$74.9K
1m vol.
$298.6K
Liquidity
$369.8K
Bid / Ask
10¢ / 11¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
11¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 8, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 38 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 37 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 140 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 140 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 140 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 28 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 112 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 31 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 31 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 14,285 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5,615 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5,000 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 487 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 593 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 150 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 24 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 274 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,927 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 54 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 54 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 235 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 185 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 92 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 92 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 593 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 593 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 24 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 24 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 500 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 500 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 201 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 201 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 4 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 4 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 51 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 51 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.