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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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9 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +12.0%1W
Yes 9¢No 92¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$49.8K

24h vol.

$18.397

1w vol.

$5.1K

1m vol.

$26.4K

Liquidity

$22.7K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$261
17¢$322
16¢$152
15¢$438
14¢$116
11¢$250
10¢$51
9¢$350
8¢$3,158
7¢$2,001
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$211
20¢$909
21¢$1,594
22¢$55
23¢$210
26¢$50
31¢$150
47¢$10
48¢$743
49¢$2,378

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell81¢99
1 mo. agoSell19¢20
1 mo. agoSell19¢80
1 mo. agoSell18¢50
1 mo. agoSell82¢50
1 mo. agoSell80¢0
1 mo. agoBuy80¢0
1 mo. agoBuy82¢50
1 mo. agoBuy18¢50
1 mo. agoBuy81¢161
1 mo. agoBuy19¢50
1 mo. agoBuy19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy19¢6
1 mo. agoBuy19¢100
1 mo. agoSell19¢19
1 mo. agoBuy19¢19
1 mo. agoSell19¢8
1 mo. agoBuy19¢8
1 mo. agoSell19¢42
1 mo. agoBuy19¢42
1 mo. agoBuy21¢27
1 mo. agoSell21¢27
1 mo. agoBuy21¢42
1 mo. agoSell21¢42
1 mo. agoSell19¢4
1 mo. agoBuy19¢4
1 mo. agoSell80¢50
1 mo. agoBuy80¢50
1 mo. agoSell77¢50
1 mo. agoSell23¢50
1 mo. agoSell22¢93
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell78¢88
1 mo. agoSell21¢50
1 mo. agoBuy18¢7
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell78¢38
1 mo. agoBuy74¢498
1 mo. agoBuy25¢50
1 mo. agoBuy25¢50
1 mo. agoSell75¢50
1 mo. agoBuy26¢50
1 mo. agoBuy26¢80
1 mo. agoSell74¢91
1 mo. agoBuy26¢100
1 mo. agoSell74¢28
1 mo. agoSell71¢100
1 mo. agoBuy71¢100
1 mo. agoBuy74¢2
1 mo. agoSell74¢2

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