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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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17 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.5%1W
Yes 17¢No 84¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$85.9K

24h vol.

$63

1w vol.

$405.58

1m vol.

$9.8K

Liquidity

$15.9K

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 17¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$353
17¢$259
16¢$214
15¢$50
14¢$125
13¢$466
12¢$523
11¢$1,779
10¢$1,100
9¢$3,771
Asks (sell)Size
20¢$154
21¢$614
22¢$232
26¢$92
27¢$250
28¢$200
29¢$240
30¢$200
31¢$45
40¢$1

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell18¢3
1 mo. agoBuy18¢3
1 mo. agoBuy19¢98
1 mo. agoSell20¢3
1 mo. agoBuy81¢50
1 mo. agoSell19¢5
1 mo. agoSell19¢39
1 mo. agoBuy19¢200
1 mo. agoSell19¢50
1 mo. agoBuy81¢95
1 mo. agoSell19¢5
1 mo. agoBuy81¢50
1 mo. agoSell81¢20
1 mo. agoSell19¢15
1 mo. agoSell19¢5
1 mo. agoSell81¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢20
1 mo. agoSell81¢5
1 mo. agoSell19¢5
1 mo. agoSell81¢5
1 mo. agoSell19¢5
1 mo. agoSell81¢50
1 mo. agoSell19¢50
1 mo. agoSell82¢586
1 mo. agoBuy81¢5
1 mo. agoSell19¢150
1 mo. agoBuy82¢100
1 mo. agoBuy82¢50
1 mo. agoBuy82¢81
1 mo. agoBuy82¢100
1 mo. agoSell18¢100
1 mo. agoSell82¢50
1 mo. agoSell18¢50
1 mo. agoSell20¢50
1 mo. agoSell80¢50
1 mo. agoSell22¢100
1 mo. agoBuy22¢45
1 mo. agoBuy22¢55
1 mo. agoBuy77¢30
1 mo. agoBuy23¢30
1 mo. agoBuy77¢463
1 mo. agoBuy23¢150
1 mo. agoBuy23¢100
1 mo. agoBuy23¢100
1 mo. agoSell76¢30
1 mo. agoBuy24¢83
1 mo. agoBuy25¢40
1 mo. agoSell26¢5
1 mo. agoBuy75¢30
1 mo. agoSell24¢5

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