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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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15 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$69.3K

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$5.6K

1m vol.

$32.4K

Liquidity

$15.5K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 16¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$1,546
9¢$1,100
8¢$4,049
7¢$280
6¢$20
5¢$546
4¢$800
3¢$2,105
2¢$2,807
1¢$4,142
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$350
12¢$2,065
13¢$837
14¢$229
16¢$20
34¢$100
54¢$41
55¢$4,643
56¢$637
58¢$137

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell10¢5
1 mo. agoSell90¢5
1 mo. agoSell89¢546
1 mo. agoBuy89¢446
1 mo. agoSell11¢100
1 mo. agoBuy90¢11
1 mo. agoSell90¢11
1 mo. agoBuy90¢11
1 mo. agoSell90¢11
1 mo. agoSell10¢23
1 mo. agoSell90¢23
1 mo. agoSell10¢50
1 mo. agoSell90¢50
1 mo. agoSell10¢51
1 mo. agoSell90¢51
1 mo. agoSell10¢248
1 mo. agoSell90¢98
1 mo. agoBuy10¢51
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢19
1 mo. agoBuy11¢10
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy89¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy88¢546
1 mo. agoBuy12¢50
1 mo. agoBuy12¢248
1 mo. agoBuy12¢100
1 mo. agoSell88¢148
1 mo. agoSell12¢2
1 mo. agoBuy12¢2
1 mo. agoSell87¢50
1 mo. agoBuy87¢50
1 mo. agoSell88¢378
1 mo. agoBuy87¢111
1 mo. agoBuy88¢50
1 mo. agoBuy88¢38
1 mo. agoBuy88¢90
1 mo. agoBuy88¢50
1 mo. agoSell12¢9
1 mo. agoSell12¢11
1 mo. agoBuy88¢19
1 mo. agoBuy13¢90
1 mo. agoBuy87¢90
1 mo. agoSell88¢200
1 mo. agoBuy88¢200
1 mo. agoSell88¢20
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢120
1 mo. agoBuy88¢120

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