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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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14 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 14¢No 86¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$74K

24h vol.

$2.2K

1w vol.

$11K

1m vol.

$24.3K

Liquidity

$4.7K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 15¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$606
12¢$741
11¢$302
10¢$859
9¢$861
8¢$1,108
7¢$2,429
6¢$1,168
5¢$4,625
4¢$4,636
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$10
15¢$461
16¢$265
17¢$140
19¢$142
20¢$175
21¢$200
48¢$16
52¢$77
53¢$782

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 79%Sells 21%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell12¢50
1 mo. agoSell88¢50
1 mo. agoSell13¢50
1 mo. agoBuy13¢30
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy87¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoSell86¢110
1 mo. agoSell14¢100
1 mo. agoBuy86¢10
1 mo. agoBuy87¢106
1 mo. agoBuy12¢17
1 mo. agoBuy13¢39
1 mo. agoSell86¢50
1 mo. agoBuy85¢579
1 mo. agoSell86¢71
1 mo. agoBuy14¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢178
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢100
1 mo. agoSell84¢50
1 mo. agoSell84¢100
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy12¢15
1 mo. agoSell82¢57
1 mo. agoBuy82¢37
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoSell84¢243
1 mo. agoSell17¢82
1 mo. agoSell17¢36
1 mo. agoBuy84¢79
1 mo. agoSell16¢30
1 mo. agoSell16¢16
1 mo. agoSell84¢28
1 mo. agoBuy84¢28
1 mo. agoSell13¢1
1 mo. agoBuy13¢1
1 mo. agoSell84¢50
1 mo. agoBuy84¢50
1 mo. agoBuy13¢3,559
1 mo. agoBuy86¢357
1 mo. agoSell14¢588
1 mo. agoBuy87¢50
1 mo. agoBuy87¢274
1 mo. agoBuy87¢213
1 mo. agoBuy87¢298
1 mo. agoBuy88¢71
1 mo. agoBuy88¢300

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