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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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24 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 24¢No 77¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$42.4K

24h vol.

$11.24

1w vol.

$5.7K

1m vol.

$22.4K

Liquidity

$14.3K

Bid / Ask

23¢ / 24¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

23¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$375
14¢$1,433
13¢$948
12¢$744
8¢$280
7¢$295
6¢$1,404
5¢$1,852
4¢$2,656
3¢$3,823
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$396
17¢$2,262
18¢$524
19¢$100
21¢$20
28¢$16
62¢$5
63¢$57
64¢$254
65¢$424

Snapshot from cache

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy85¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy85¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy85¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoSell15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy15¢10
1 mo. agoBuy16¢19
1 mo. agoSell16¢19
1 mo. agoBuy16¢19
1 mo. agoBuy84¢19
1 mo. agoSell14¢4
1 mo. agoBuy14¢4
1 mo. agoSell14¢4
1 mo. agoBuy14¢4
1 mo. agoSell15¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢24
1 mo. agoBuy15¢4
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢0
1 mo. agoSell85¢0
1 mo. agoSell83¢3
1 mo. agoBuy83¢3
1 mo. agoSell15¢9
1 mo. agoBuy15¢9
1 mo. agoBuy85¢9
1 mo. agoBuy15¢9
1 mo. agoBuy85¢9
1 mo. agoBuy15¢9
1 mo. agoSell15¢9
1 mo. agoBuy15¢9
1 mo. agoSell16¢23
1 mo. agoBuy16¢9
1 mo. agoBuy16¢14
1 mo. agoSell16¢39
1 mo. agoBuy16¢16
1 mo. agoBuy16¢23
1 mo. agoSell83¢3
1 mo. agoBuy83¢3
1 mo. agoSell83¢239
1 mo. agoBuy83¢239
1 mo. agoSell84¢20
1 mo. agoSell16¢20
1 mo. agoSell83¢0
1 mo. agoBuy83¢0
1 mo. agoSell83¢36

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