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Updated 17 min. ago

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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37 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +2.5%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 37¢No 64¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$59.5K

24h vol.

$40K

1w vol.

$42.4K

1m vol.

$59.5K

Liquidity

$29.5K

Bid / Ask

36¢ / 37¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

36¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
35¢$101
34¢$250
33¢$1,133
32¢$150
31¢$105
30¢$400
29¢$200
20¢$101
14¢$3,069
13¢$769
Asks (sell)Size
37¢$1
38¢$100
39¢$114
40¢$1,048
41¢$105
42¢$141
43¢$415
44¢$20
45¢$25
46¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
37 min. agoBuy65¢3
37 min. agoBuy35¢3
1 hr. agoSell63¢3
1 hr. agoSell37¢3
2 hr. agoSell63¢5
2 hr. agoSell37¢5
2 hr. agoSell63¢100
2 hr. agoBuy63¢100
2 hr. agoSell63¢103
2 hr. agoBuy63¢3
2 hr. agoBuy63¢100
2 hr. agoSell64¢110
2 hr. agoBuy64¢104
2 hr. agoSell35¢6
6 hr. agoBuy67¢1
6 hr. agoSell67¢1
6 hr. agoBuy66¢11,200
6 hr. agoBuy34¢11,200
6 hr. agoBuy36¢3
6 hr. agoBuy64¢3
6 hr. agoBuy35¢10,300
6 hr. agoBuy65¢10,300
6 hr. agoBuy35¢1,800
6 hr. agoBuy65¢1,800
6 hr. agoBuy35¢7,200
6 hr. agoBuy65¢7,200
6 hr. agoBuy35¢9,200
6 hr. agoBuy65¢9,200
9 hr. agoSell65¢3
9 hr. agoBuy65¢3
9 hr. agoSell65¢3
9 hr. agoBuy65¢3
9 hr. agoBuy35¢3
9 hr. agoBuy65¢3
2 days agoSell66¢10
2 days agoBuy66¢10
2 days agoSell66¢10
2 days agoBuy66¢10
2 days agoSell66¢50
2 days agoBuy66¢10
2 days agoBuy66¢40
2 days agoBuy68¢5
2 days agoSell68¢5
3 days agoBuy68¢147
3 days agoBuy32¢147
4 days agoBuy65¢46
4 days agoSell66¢6
4 days agoSell65¢40
4 days agoBuy65¢3
4 days agoSell65¢3

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