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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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5 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$25.1K

24h vol.

$2.706

1w vol.

$44.731

1m vol.

$3.2K

Liquidity

$20.8K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 6¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$1,543
4¢$1,309
3¢$14,016
2¢$40,208
1¢$4,574
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$1,932
8¢$4,378
9¢$3,588
10¢$100
12¢$863
47¢$213
48¢$208
54¢$40
55¢$182
56¢$5

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 33%Sells 67%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell93¢23
1 mo. agoBuy93¢23
1 mo. agoSell94¢27
1 mo. agoSell6¢22
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoSell93¢541
1 mo. agoBuy93¢491
1 mo. agoBuy94¢50
1 mo. agoBuy95¢2
1 mo. agoBuy5¢2
1 mo. agoSell94¢1,621
1 mo. agoBuy94¢541
1 mo. agoBuy94¢300
1 mo. agoSell6¢17
1 mo. agoSell6¢361
1 mo. agoSell6¢7
1 mo. agoBuy94¢395
1 mo. agoSell5¢60
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢50
1 mo. agoSell95¢5
1 mo. agoSell4¢565
1 mo. agoSell96¢565
1 mo. agoSell4¢50
1 mo. agoSell96¢36
1 mo. agoBuy4¢14
1 mo. agoSell5¢50
1 mo. agoBuy5¢50
1 mo. agoSell4¢3
1 mo. agoBuy4¢3
1 mo. agoSell4¢3
1 mo. agoBuy4¢3
1 mo. agoSell4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢5
1 mo. agoSell94¢20
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoSell5¢14
1 mo. agoBuy4¢6
1 mo. agoBuy5¢8
1 mo. agoBuy95¢2
1 mo. agoBuy5¢2
1 mo. agoSell94¢11
1 mo. agoSell6¢1
1 mo. agoSell6¢10
2 mo. agoSell94¢0
2 mo. agoBuy94¢0
2 mo. agoBuy96¢20
2 mo. agoBuy4¢20

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