Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.8%24h▲ +0.3%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$31.9K

24h vol.

$127

1w vol.

$127

1m vol.

$7.4K

Liquidity

$11.1K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$190
4¢$300
3¢$50
3¢$50
2¢$50
2¢$121
2¢$303
2¢$11
2¢$50
1¢$22
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$172
6¢$291
6¢$100
10¢$3,000
59¢$329
59¢$1,097
60¢$339
60¢$1,130
62¢$505
62¢$1,684

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 2%Sells 98%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoBuy5¢21
2 mo. agoSell5¢1
2 mo. agoBuy95¢20
2 mo. agoSell95¢100
2 mo. agoBuy95¢100
2 mo. agoSell4¢40
2 mo. agoSell96¢10
2 mo. agoSell96¢30
2 mo. agoBuy5¢100
2 mo. agoSell5¢30
2 mo. agoBuy95¢40
2 mo. agoBuy95¢30
2 mo. agoSell5¢79
2 mo. agoSell95¢79
2 mo. agoSell5¢441
2 mo. agoSell95¢441
2 mo. agoSell5¢467
2 mo. agoSell95¢467
2 mo. agoSell5¢448
2 mo. agoSell95¢448
2 mo. agoSell5¢460
2 mo. agoSell95¢460
2 mo. agoSell5¢456
2 mo. agoSell95¢456
2 mo. agoSell5¢445
2 mo. agoSell95¢445
2 mo. agoSell5¢455
2 mo. agoSell95¢455
2 mo. agoSell5¢446
2 mo. agoSell95¢446
2 mo. agoSell5¢18
2 mo. agoSell95¢18
2 mo. agoSell5¢436
2 mo. agoSell95¢436
2 mo. agoSell5¢441
2 mo. agoSell95¢441
2 mo. agoSell5¢434
2 mo. agoSell95¢434
2 mo. agoSell5¢443
2 mo. agoSell95¢443
2 mo. agoSell5¢430
2 mo. agoSell95¢430
2 mo. agoSell5¢454
2 mo. agoSell95¢435
2 mo. agoSell95¢19
2 mo. agoSell5¢425
2 mo. agoSell95¢425
2 mo. agoSell5¢440
2 mo. agoSell95¢440
2 mo. agoSell95¢40

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.