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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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14 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 14¢No 87¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$78.4K

24h vol.

$5.03

1w vol.

$6.8K

1m vol.

$41.6K

Liquidity

$15.6K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 14¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$404
11¢$1,180
10¢$1,290
9¢$361
8¢$1,060
7¢$3,800
6¢$4,157
5¢$4,432
4¢$6,508
3¢$6,607
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$954
15¢$1,097
16¢$131
19¢$60
36¢$431
37¢$1,917
40¢$500
49¢$490
50¢$1,000
57¢$930

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 72%Sells 28%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell87¢5
1 mo. agoBuy87¢5
1 mo. agoSell87¢50
1 mo. agoSell13¢50
1 mo. agoBuy87¢17
1 mo. agoBuy13¢17
1 mo. agoSell13¢10
1 mo. agoBuy13¢10
1 mo. agoSell86¢49
1 mo. agoSell14¢49
1 mo. agoSell13¢6
1 mo. agoBuy13¢6
1 mo. agoBuy14¢16
1 mo. agoSell14¢16
1 mo. agoSell13¢2
1 mo. agoBuy13¢2
1 mo. agoSell13¢50
1 mo. agoBuy13¢50
1 mo. agoSell14¢50
1 mo. agoBuy14¢50
1 mo. agoSell85¢30
1 mo. agoBuy85¢30
1 mo. agoBuy86¢50
1 mo. agoBuy14¢50
1 mo. agoBuy84¢1,773
1 mo. agoBuy15¢66
1 mo. agoBuy15¢50
1 mo. agoBuy15¢50
1 mo. agoSell85¢700
1 mo. agoBuy16¢339
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy16¢50
1 mo. agoBuy17¢100
1 mo. agoBuy17¢50
1 mo. agoBuy17¢50
1 mo. agoBuy17¢100
1 mo. agoSell83¢68
1 mo. agoBuy86¢66
1 mo. agoBuy14¢66
1 mo. agoBuy86¢50
1 mo. agoBuy14¢24
1 mo. agoSell86¢26
1 mo. agoSell83¢50
1 mo. agoBuy83¢50
1 mo. agoSell84¢30
1 mo. agoSell16¢30
1 mo. agoSell84¢35
1 mo. agoBuy84¢30

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