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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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30 %

chance

▲ +32.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −12.0%1W
Yes 30¢No 71¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$19K

24h vol.

$9.082

1w vol.

$2.5K

1m vol.

$19K

Liquidity

$22.9K

Bid / Ask

29¢ / 30¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

28¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 18¢
Bids (buy)Size
56¢$5
54¢$5
52¢$20
45¢$22
40¢$50
3¢$26
2¢$170
1¢$262
Asks (sell)Size
74¢$20
75¢$15
99¢$88

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell60¢5
2 wk. agoBuy60¢5
2 wk. agoSell56¢10
2 wk. agoSell44¢10
2 wk. agoSell43¢0
2 wk. agoBuy32¢5
2 wk. agoBuy68¢5
2 wk. agoBuy25¢5
2 wk. agoBuy75¢5
2 wk. agoSell65¢15
2 wk. agoSell39¢7
2 wk. agoSell31¢7
2 wk. agoSell75¢20
2 wk. agoBuy75¢20
2 wk. agoSell62¢20
2 wk. agoBuy62¢20
2 wk. agoSell76¢5
2 wk. agoSell24¢5
2 wk. agoSell75¢20
2 wk. agoBuy75¢20
2 wk. agoSell59¢15
2 wk. agoSell43¢7
2 wk. agoSell39¢7
2 wk. agoSell39¢0
2 wk. agoSell65¢15
2 wk. agoSell39¢7
2 wk. agoSell39¢0
2 wk. agoSell31¢7
2 wk. agoSell65¢15
2 wk. agoSell39¢7
2 wk. agoSell31¢7
2 wk. agoBuy93¢100
2 wk. agoBuy1¢25
2 wk. agoBuy1¢16
2 wk. agoBuy1¢12
2 wk. agoBuy2¢16
2 wk. agoBuy3¢11
2 wk. agoBuy30¢20
2 wk. agoSell68¢0
2 wk. agoBuy68¢0
2 wk. agoSell70¢20
2 wk. agoBuy70¢20
2 wk. agoSell77¢60
2 wk. agoSell30¢20
2 wk. agoSell29¢20
2 wk. agoBuy89¢20
2 wk. agoSell53¢20
2 wk. agoBuy53¢0
2 wk. agoBuy53¢20
2 wk. agoBuy44¢291

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