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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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3 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$19.8K

24h vol.

$42.75

1w vol.

$42.75

1m vol.

$7.3K

Liquidity

$14.6K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$30
6¢$15
6¢$106
5¢$999
5¢$1,015
5¢$50
5¢$220
5¢$125
5¢$875
5¢$69
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$3,236
6¢$1,717
7¢$50
7¢$1,633
7¢$215
7¢$831
7¢$1,605
7¢$91
8¢$1,100
8¢$186

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢24
1 mo. agoBuy6¢24
1 mo. agoSell6¢15
1 mo. agoBuy6¢15
1 mo. agoSell5¢15
1 mo. agoBuy5¢15
1 mo. agoSell5¢11
1 mo. agoBuy5¢11
1 mo. agoSell5¢50
1 mo. agoBuy5¢26
1 mo. agoBuy5¢24
1 mo. agoSell5¢16
1 mo. agoBuy5¢16
1 mo. agoBuy6¢16
1 mo. agoBuy94¢16
1 mo. agoSell94¢50
1 mo. agoBuy94¢10
1 mo. agoBuy94¢27
1 mo. agoBuy94¢13
1 mo. agoSell5¢39
1 mo. agoBuy5¢39
1 mo. agoSell5¢3
1 mo. agoBuy5¢3
1 mo. agoSell5¢10
1 mo. agoBuy5¢10
1 mo. agoBuy6¢52
1 mo. agoBuy94¢2
1 mo. agoBuy94¢50
1 mo. agoSell5¢43
1 mo. agoBuy5¢30
1 mo. agoBuy5¢13
1 mo. agoSell6¢6
1 mo. agoBuy6¢6
1 mo. agoBuy6¢49
1 mo. agoBuy94¢35
1 mo. agoBuy94¢13
1 mo. agoSell6¢32
1 mo. agoBuy6¢19
1 mo. agoBuy6¢13
1 mo. agoBuy6¢32
1 mo. agoBuy94¢19
1 mo. agoBuy94¢13
1 mo. agoSell6¢11
1 mo. agoBuy6¢11
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢2
1 mo. agoBuy6¢2

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