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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.6%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$38.3K

24h vol.

$2.24

1w vol.

$3.4K

1m vol.

$31.9K

Liquidity

$11.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$309
9¢$478
8¢$3,332
7¢$333
6¢$50
5¢$30
4¢$838
3¢$1,503
2¢$1,891
1¢$2,758
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$367
12¢$2,351
13¢$5,151
14¢$600
25¢$60
60¢$1,018
61¢$4,500
64¢$1,778
68¢$2,500
72¢$1,587

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✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell89¢3
1 mo. agoSell11¢3
1 mo. agoBuy90¢257
1 mo. agoSell90¢257
1 mo. agoSell10¢1
1 mo. agoSell90¢1
1 mo. agoSell89¢0
1 mo. agoSell11¢0
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢6
1 mo. agoSell90¢6
1 mo. agoSell9¢56
1 mo. agoBuy9¢56
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell10¢30
1 mo. agoBuy10¢30
1 mo. agoSell10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢6
1 mo. agoBuy10¢6
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy89¢505
1 mo. agoBuy11¢49
1 mo. agoBuy11¢21
1 mo. agoBuy11¢92
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢100
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoBuy11¢13
1 mo. agoBuy11¢20
1 mo. agoSell89¢90
1 mo. agoBuy90¢21
1 mo. agoBuy10¢1
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoSell11¢10

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