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Updated 4 days ago

Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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24 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −11.0%1W
Yes 24¢No 77¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$97.6K

24h vol.

$25.25

1w vol.

$38.9K

1m vol.

$47.9K

Liquidity

$15.5K

Bid / Ask

23¢ / 24¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

24¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
28¢$329
27¢$2,716
26¢$1,107
25¢$888
24¢$115
23¢$1,005
22¢$5
21¢$5
20¢$5
19¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
29¢$884
30¢$2,221
31¢$386
32¢$777
33¢$339
34¢$1,000
37¢$35
38¢$51
40¢$50
43¢$50

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 35%Sells 65%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 days agoBuy72¢1
4 days agoBuy28¢1
4 days agoBuy72¢15
4 days agoBuy28¢15
4 days agoBuy72¢3
4 days agoBuy28¢3
4 days agoBuy72¢250
4 days agoBuy28¢151
4 days agoBuy28¢99
4 days agoSell28¢6
4 days agoBuy28¢1
4 days agoSell72¢5
4 days agoBuy29¢400
4 days agoSell29¢400
5 days agoSell71¢1
5 days agoSell29¢1
5 days agoBuy71¢604
5 days agoBuy29¢100
5 days agoSell71¢5
5 days agoBuy29¢100
5 days agoBuy29¢399
5 days agoBuy72¢100
5 days agoBuy28¢100
5 days agoBuy71¢101
5 days agoBuy29¢101
5 days agoSell29¢11
5 days agoSell71¢11
5 days agoSell68¢10,100
5 days agoSell32¢10,089
5 days agoSell32¢1
5 days agoBuy69¢10
5 days agoBuy32¢9
5 days agoSell32¢9
5 days agoSell68¢3,800
5 days agoSell32¢3,790
5 days agoBuy69¢10
5 days agoSell68¢5,400
5 days agoSell32¢5,400
5 days agoSell68¢11,200
5 days agoSell32¢11,200
5 days agoSell31¢8,100
5 days agoSell69¢8,100
5 days agoSell30¢0
5 days agoBuy30¢0
5 days agoBuy71¢1
5 days agoSell71¢1
5 days agoBuy33¢10,100
5 days agoBuy67¢10,100
5 days agoBuy67¢9,200
5 days agoBuy33¢9,200

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