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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Palmer Luckey attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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2 %

chance

▼ −15.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$3.2K

24h vol.

$499.99

1w vol.

$499.99

1m vol.

$499.99

Liquidity

$10.4K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 3¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$30
5¢$534
4¢$849
3¢$194
2¢$250
1¢$639
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$7
12¢$194
13¢$40
18¢$20
19¢$20
26¢$20
27¢$20
42¢$20
43¢$20
45¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell5¢12
2 wk. agoBuy5¢12
2 wk. agoSell7¢13
2 wk. agoBuy7¢13
2 wk. agoSell7¢7
2 wk. agoBuy7¢7
2 wk. agoBuy84¢20
2 wk. agoBuy16¢20
2 wk. agoSell17¢20
2 wk. agoBuy17¢20
2 wk. agoBuy82¢469
2 wk. agoBuy18¢20
2 wk. agoBuy18¢20
2 wk. agoBuy18¢20
2 wk. agoBuy18¢20
2 wk. agoBuy18¢200
2 wk. agoBuy18¢90
2 wk. agoBuy18¢20
2 wk. agoBuy18¢80
2 wk. agoBuy72¢40
2 wk. agoBuy28¢20
2 wk. agoBuy28¢20
2 wk. agoBuy79¢20
2 wk. agoBuy21¢20
2 wk. agoBuy72¢20
2 wk. agoBuy28¢20
2 wk. agoBuy69¢60
2 wk. agoBuy29¢20
2 wk. agoBuy31¢20
2 wk. agoBuy32¢20
2 wk. agoBuy62¢20
2 wk. agoBuy38¢20
2 wk. agoBuy59¢20
2 wk. agoBuy41¢20
2 wk. agoBuy55¢20
2 wk. agoBuy45¢20
2 wk. agoBuy47¢140
2 wk. agoBuy52¢20
2 wk. agoBuy53¢20
2 wk. agoBuy53¢20
2 wk. agoBuy53¢20
2 wk. agoBuy53¢20
2 wk. agoSell47¢20
2 wk. agoBuy53¢20
3 wk. agoSell64¢20
3 wk. agoSell36¢20
3 wk. agoBuy65¢20
3 wk. agoBuy35¢20
3 wk. agoSell71¢20
3 wk. agoBuy71¢20

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Related markets

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