Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

22 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 22¢No 79¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$128.8K

24h vol.

$59.97

1w vol.

$1.8K

1m vol.

$24.5K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

21¢ / 22¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

21¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$7,054
17¢$3,153
16¢$4,781
7¢$3,711
6¢$2,711
5¢$4,150
4¢$2,952
3¢$3,958
2¢$9,861
1¢$19,832
Asks (sell)Size
19¢$903
20¢$5,101
21¢$1,171
22¢$651
24¢$943
30¢$16
52¢$20
55¢$555
56¢$357
57¢$351

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 17%Sells 83%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell18¢5
1 mo. agoBuy18¢5
1 mo. agoSell18¢39
1 mo. agoBuy18¢39
1 mo. agoSell18¢17
1 mo. agoBuy18¢17
1 mo. agoBuy19¢56
1 mo. agoSell19¢56
1 mo. agoSell18¢13
1 mo. agoBuy18¢13
1 mo. agoSell18¢17
1 mo. agoBuy18¢17
1 mo. agoBuy19¢30
1 mo. agoSell19¢30
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢101
1 mo. agoBuy18¢65
1 mo. agoBuy18¢36
1 mo. agoBuy81¢893
1 mo. agoBuy19¢500
1 mo. agoBuy19¢55
1 mo. agoBuy19¢101
1 mo. agoSell81¢14
1 mo. agoBuy19¢200
1 mo. agoSell81¢23
1 mo. agoSell81¢191
1 mo. agoSell19¢191
1 mo. agoSell81¢14,862
1 mo. agoSell19¢14,862
1 mo. agoSell81¢9,493
1 mo. agoSell19¢9,493
1 mo. agoSell81¢9,478
1 mo. agoSell19¢9,478
1 mo. agoSell81¢7,162
1 mo. agoSell19¢7,162
1 mo. agoSell19¢23
1 mo. agoBuy19¢23
1 mo. agoSell19¢35
1 mo. agoBuy19¢35
1 mo. agoBuy20¢5
1 mo. agoBuy80¢5
1 mo. agoSell81¢8
1 mo. agoBuy81¢8
1 mo. agoSell81¢6
1 mo. agoBuy81¢6
1 mo. agoBuy82¢14
1 mo. agoBuy18¢14
1 mo. agoBuy82¢7,162
1 mo. agoBuy18¢7,162

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.