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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
21 %
chance
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 outcomes- Steve Witkoff37 %
- Jared Kushner34 %
- Abbas Araghchi30 %
- Nick Stewart25 %
- Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani24 %
- Kazem Gharibabadi24 %
- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf22 %
- Majid Takht-Ravanchi21 %
- J.D. Vance17 %
- Rafael Grossi15 %
- Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi14 %
- Ishaq Dar14 %
- Masoud Pezeshkian14 %
- Marco Rubio9 %
- Donald Trump7 %
- Pete Hegseth5 %
- Ahmad Vahidi4 %
- Newt Gingrich4 %
- Esmail Qaani3 %
- Elon Musk3 %
- Mojtaba Khamenei2 %
- Mohammed bin Salman2 %
- Palmer Luckey2 %
Total volume
$40.5K
24h vol.
$100
1w vol.
$3.8K
1m vol.
$23.1K
Liquidity
$12.8K
Bid / Ask
20¢ / 21¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
21¢
Start date
Aug 12, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 57 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 43 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 183 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 168 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 120 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 36 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 14 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 80 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 83¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 66 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 676 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 34 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 118 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 191 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 77 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 20 |
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Related markets
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