Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

21 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 21¢No 80¢

Total volume

$40.5K

24h vol.

$100

1w vol.

$3.8K

1m vol.

$23.1K

Liquidity

$12.8K

Bid / Ask

20¢ / 21¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

21¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$572
16¢$1,059
15¢$874
14¢$25
8¢$125
7¢$283
6¢$1,513
5¢$2,299
4¢$2,169
3¢$3,106
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$2,780
19¢$1,775
20¢$346
26¢$30
38¢$30
63¢$20
64¢$5
65¢$261
66¢$436
67¢$1,939

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy83¢13
1 mo. agoSell83¢13
1 mo. agoSell17¢20
1 mo. agoSell83¢20
1 mo. agoSell17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoSell17¢57
1 mo. agoBuy17¢14
1 mo. agoSell83¢43
1 mo. agoSell82¢183
1 mo. agoBuy82¢168
1 mo. agoSell18¢15
1 mo. agoSell17¢120
1 mo. agoSell83¢120
1 mo. agoBuy83¢1
1 mo. agoSell83¢1
2 mo. agoBuy19¢20
2 mo. agoBuy81¢20
2 mo. agoBuy83¢50
2 mo. agoSell83¢36
2 mo. agoSell83¢14
2 mo. agoSell82¢8
2 mo. agoSell18¢8
2 mo. agoSell17¢100
2 mo. agoSell83¢20
2 mo. agoSell83¢80
2 mo. agoSell17¢100
2 mo. agoSell83¢100
2 mo. agoSell82¢34
2 mo. agoBuy82¢34
2 mo. agoSell82¢100
2 mo. agoBuy82¢34
2 mo. agoSell18¢66
2 mo. agoSell78¢50
2 mo. agoBuy76¢20
2 mo. agoSell20¢30
2 mo. agoBuy12¢676
2 mo. agoSell17¢34
2 mo. agoSell16¢118
2 mo. agoSell12¢6
2 mo. agoBuy89¢100
2 mo. agoBuy90¢191
2 mo. agoBuy90¢100
2 mo. agoBuy90¢50
2 mo. agoSell10¢77
2 mo. agoSell10¢10
2 mo. agoBuy10¢10
2 mo. agoSell10¢10
2 mo. agoBuy10¢10
2 mo. agoSell10¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.