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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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34 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▼ −8.5%1W
Yes 34¢No 66¢

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

23 outcomes

Total volume

$15.5K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$27.9K

Bid / Ask

33¢ / 35¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

32¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
42¢$84
41¢$20
35¢$20
34¢$20
32¢$20
11¢$20
10¢$21
9¢$30
8¢$214
7¢$101
Asks (sell)Size
45¢$100
46¢$20
71¢$20
97¢$9
98¢$16
99¢$60

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 25%Sells 75%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell36¢18
2 wk. agoSell64¢18
2 wk. agoSell36¢42
2 wk. agoSell64¢22
2 wk. agoSell63¢20
2 wk. agoSell69¢20
2 wk. agoBuy69¢20
2 wk. agoSell69¢20
2 wk. agoBuy69¢20
2 wk. agoSell70¢40
2 wk. agoBuy70¢20
2 wk. agoBuy70¢20
2 wk. agoBuy29¢20
2 wk. agoBuy71¢20
2 wk. agoSell73¢40
2 wk. agoBuy73¢20
2 wk. agoSell27¢20
2 wk. agoBuy73¢0
2 wk. agoSell25¢20
2 wk. agoSell75¢10
2 wk. agoSell75¢10
2 wk. agoBuy27¢20
2 wk. agoBuy73¢20
2 wk. agoBuy73¢0
2 wk. agoSell51¢37
2 wk. agoSell49¢37
2 wk. agoSell73¢20
2 wk. agoBuy73¢20
2 wk. agoSell73¢20
2 wk. agoSell27¢20
2 wk. agoSell73¢20
2 wk. agoSell27¢20
2 wk. agoSell58¢74
2 wk. agoSell48¢20
2 wk. agoSell48¢34
2 wk. agoSell27¢20
2 wk. agoBuy27¢20
2 wk. agoBuy73¢15
2 wk. agoBuy73¢5
2 wk. agoSell63¢74
2 wk. agoSell47¢34
2 wk. agoBuy71¢20
2 wk. agoBuy73¢20
2 wk. agoSell54¢34
2 wk. agoSell46¢34
2 wk. agoSell73¢20
2 wk. agoSell27¢20
2 wk. agoBuy75¢20
2 wk. agoSell75¢20
2 wk. agoSell25¢20

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