Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

14 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −7.0%1W
Yes 14¢No 87¢

Total volume

$74.2K

24h vol.

$9.2K

1w vol.

$14.6K

1m vol.

$50.3K

Liquidity

$27.4K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 14¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$912
14¢$885
13¢$943
12¢$700
10¢$5
8¢$50
7¢$243
6¢$1,359
5¢$1,839
4¢$2,696
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$1,565
17¢$2,107
18¢$56
22¢$10
25¢$20
26¢$240
31¢$20
64¢$20
65¢$424
66¢$1,882

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell84¢20
1 mo. agoBuy84¢20
1 mo. agoSell84¢10
1 mo. agoBuy84¢10
1 mo. agoBuy16¢19
1 mo. agoBuy84¢19
1 mo. agoSell15¢17
1 mo. agoSell85¢12
1 mo. agoSell85¢5
1 mo. agoSell84¢29
1 mo. agoBuy84¢29
1 mo. agoSell84¢273
1 mo. agoBuy84¢273
1 mo. agoSell84¢3
1 mo. agoBuy84¢3
1 mo. agoBuy85¢20
1 mo. agoSell85¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢1
1 mo. agoSell85¢1
1 mo. agoSell82¢0
1 mo. agoBuy82¢0
1 mo. agoBuy18¢21
1 mo. agoBuy82¢21
1 mo. agoSell82¢84
1 mo. agoBuy82¢22
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢37
1 mo. agoBuy82¢5
1 mo. agoSell17¢2
1 mo. agoSell83¢2
1 mo. agoSell17¢51
1 mo. agoSell83¢1
1 mo. agoSell83¢50
1 mo. agoBuy18¢22
1 mo. agoBuy82¢22
1 mo. agoSell82¢83
1 mo. agoBuy82¢63
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoSell82¢9
1 mo. agoSell18¢9
1 mo. agoBuy82¢1
1 mo. agoSell82¢1
2 mo. agoSell80¢14
2 mo. agoBuy80¢9
2 mo. agoSell19¢5
2 mo. agoSell17¢40
2 mo. agoSell83¢25
2 mo. agoBuy18¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.