Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$413.8K

24h vol.

$321

1w vol.

$421

1m vol.

$27.8K

Liquidity

$1.8M

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$471,235
0¢$1,088,106
0¢$40,556
0¢$356
1¢$356
1¢$356
1¢$356
1¢$356
1¢$356
1¢$45,356

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy0¢10,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢10,000
3 wk. agoBuy0¢3,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢3,000
3 wk. agoBuy0¢3,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢3,000
3 wk. agoBuy0¢5,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢5,000
3 wk. agoBuy0¢5,000
3 wk. agoSell0¢5,000
3 wk. agoSell100¢89
3 wk. agoSell0¢89
4 wk. agoSell100¢79
4 wk. agoSell0¢79
4 wk. agoSell100¢72
4 wk. agoSell0¢72
4 wk. agoSell100¢89
4 wk. agoSell0¢89
1 mo. agoSell100¢35
1 mo. agoSell0¢35
1 mo. agoSell100¢13
1 mo. agoSell0¢13
1 mo. agoSell100¢42
1 mo. agoSell0¢42
2 mo. agoSell100¢3
2 mo. agoSell0¢3
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3
2 mo. agoSell0¢3
2 mo. agoSell0¢210
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoSell100¢64
2 mo. agoSell0¢64
2 mo. agoSell100¢300
2 mo. agoSell0¢300
2 mo. agoBuy100¢300
2 mo. agoBuy0¢300
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢2,500
2 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
2 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500
2 mo. agoSell0¢500
2 mo. agoBuy0¢500
2 mo. agoSell100¢10
2 mo. agoSell0¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.