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Updated 28 min. ago

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▲ +1.0%24h▲ +3.5%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$2.8M

24h vol.

$79.3K

1w vol.

$491K

1m vol.

$946.7K

Liquidity

$273.4K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 5¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$962
5¢$210
5¢$1,500
5¢$1,490
5¢$5
4¢$2,165
4¢$10,128
4¢$4,903
4¢$2,222
4¢$11,150
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$22,433
6¢$2,101
6¢$5,070
6¢$6,492
6¢$20,000
6¢$14,871
7¢$18,537
7¢$19
7¢$25
7¢$33

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy5¢566
1 hr. agoSell5¢566
1 hr. agoBuy95¢6
1 hr. agoBuy5¢6
1 hr. agoBuy95¢11
1 hr. agoBuy5¢11
1 hr. agoBuy95¢5
1 hr. agoBuy5¢5
1 hr. agoBuy95¢2,793
1 hr. agoBuy5¢800
1 hr. agoBuy5¢33
1 hr. agoBuy5¢126
1 hr. agoBuy5¢299
1 hr. agoBuy5¢135
1 hr. agoBuy5¢485
1 hr. agoBuy5¢914
2 hr. agoBuy5¢1,000
2 hr. agoSell5¢243
2 hr. agoSell5¢150
2 hr. agoSell5¢150
2 hr. agoSell5¢150
2 hr. agoSell5¢307
2 hr. agoBuy5¢185
2 hr. agoSell5¢185
3 hr. agoSell95¢8
3 hr. agoSell5¢8
3 hr. agoSell5¢150
3 hr. agoBuy5¢150
3 hr. agoSell5¢150
3 hr. agoBuy5¢150
3 hr. agoSell5¢150
3 hr. agoBuy5¢150
3 hr. agoSell5¢150
3 hr. agoBuy5¢150
4 hr. agoBuy5¢467
4 hr. agoSell5¢467
4 hr. agoBuy5¢466
4 hr. agoSell5¢316
4 hr. agoSell5¢50
4 hr. agoSell5¢50
4 hr. agoSell5¢50
4 hr. agoBuy5¢400
4 hr. agoSell5¢50
4 hr. agoSell5¢350
4 hr. agoBuy5¢192
4 hr. agoSell5¢192
4 hr. agoBuy95¢5
4 hr. agoBuy5¢5
4 hr. agoBuy95¢5
4 hr. agoBuy5¢5

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