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Updated 13 min. ago

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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11 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 11¢No 90¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$2.4M

24h vol.

$81.2K

1w vol.

$224.8K

1m vol.

$820.3K

Liquidity

$511.2K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 11¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$33,122
9¢$56,935
8¢$184,374
7¢$100,017
6¢$15,171
5¢$3,677
4¢$500
3¢$667
2¢$14,350
1¢$4,359
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$24,026
12¢$25,543
13¢$55,967
14¢$11,482
15¢$9,754
16¢$24,870
17¢$11,771
18¢$9,058
19¢$7,134
20¢$14,959

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
27 min. agoBuy90¢22
27 min. agoBuy10¢22
47 min. agoBuy11¢9
47 min. agoBuy89¢9
2 hr. agoSell10¢50
2 hr. agoBuy10¢50
3 hr. agoSell10¢150
3 hr. agoBuy10¢150
3 hr. agoSell10¢150
3 hr. agoBuy10¢150
3 hr. agoSell10¢150
3 hr. agoBuy10¢150
3 hr. agoSell89¢400
3 hr. agoBuy89¢400
3 hr. agoSell10¢150
3 hr. agoBuy10¢150
3 hr. agoBuy11¢1,666
3 hr. agoBuy89¢821
3 hr. agoSell11¢369
3 hr. agoBuy89¢200
3 hr. agoSell10¢61
3 hr. agoBuy90¢215
3 hr. agoBuy10¢15,000
3 hr. agoBuy90¢185
3 hr. agoBuy90¢1,666
3 hr. agoSell10¢61
3 hr. agoBuy90¢100
3 hr. agoSell10¢500
3 hr. agoBuy90¢100
3 hr. agoBuy90¢20
3 hr. agoSell10¢1,200
3 hr. agoSell10¢513
3 hr. agoSell10¢13
3 hr. agoSell10¢200
3 hr. agoSell10¢5
3 hr. agoBuy90¢10,437
3 hr. agoBuy10¢5,000
3 hr. agoBuy90¢5,000
4 hr. agoBuy10¢1,113
4 hr. agoBuy90¢1,113
4 hr. agoBuy10¢10,000
4 hr. agoBuy90¢3,451
4 hr. agoSell10¢4,533
4 hr. agoBuy90¢6
4 hr. agoSell10¢500
4 hr. agoSell10¢1,000
4 hr. agoBuy90¢510
4 hr. agoSell90¢7
4 hr. agoBuy90¢7
4 hr. agoBuy10¢10,000

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