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Updated 11 min. ago

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Total volume

$1.1M

24h vol.

$36.9K

1w vol.

$188.8K

1m vol.

$1.1M

Liquidity

$240.1K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$68,570
1¢$4,000
0¢$6,290
0¢$8,917
0¢$24,500
0¢$49,627
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$80,225
1¢$311
1¢$433
1¢$9,146
1¢$33,007
1¢$1,000
3¢$3,691
3¢$15,504
4¢$10
5¢$134

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
18 min. agoBuy1¢1,147
18 min. agoSell1¢1,147
2 hr. agoSell1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢500
2 hr. agoSell1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢500
2 hr. agoSell1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢1,429
2 hr. agoSell1¢1,429
3 hr. agoSell99¢35
3 hr. agoSell1¢35
3 hr. agoBuy99¢15
3 hr. agoBuy1¢15
3 hr. agoBuy99¢20
3 hr. agoBuy1¢20
3 hr. agoSell1¢2,600
3 hr. agoBuy1¢2,600
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy1¢2,000
3 hr. agoSell1¢500
3 hr. agoBuy1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢800
4 hr. agoBuy1¢800
4 hr. agoSell1¢2,600
4 hr. agoBuy1¢2,600
4 hr. agoSell1¢2,600
4 hr. agoBuy1¢2,600
4 hr. agoSell1¢1,790
4 hr. agoBuy1¢1,790
5 hr. agoSell1¢130
5 hr. agoBuy1¢130
5 hr. agoSell1¢130
5 hr. agoBuy1¢130
5 hr. agoSell1¢650
5 hr. agoBuy1¢650
5 hr. agoSell1¢500
5 hr. agoBuy1¢500
7 hr. agoSell1¢100
7 hr. agoBuy1¢100
8 hr. agoSell1¢500
8 hr. agoBuy1¢500

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

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