Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$3.7M

24h vol.

$4.5

1w vol.

$15K

1m vol.

$20.7K

Liquidity

$567.7K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$491,930
0¢$35,831
0¢$2,390
0¢$149
1¢$149
1¢$617
1¢$9,536
1¢$1,123
1¢$420
1¢$4,875

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 48%Sells 52%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell100¢5
1 wk. agoSell0¢5
1 wk. agoBuy0¢15,000
1 wk. agoSell0¢15,000
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1,000
2 wk. agoSell0¢578
2 wk. agoSell0¢422
2 wk. agoBuy0¢1,290
2 wk. agoSell0¢578
2 wk. agoSell0¢712
2 wk. agoBuy0¢2,360
2 wk. agoSell0¢288
2 wk. agoSell0¢1,000
2 wk. agoSell0¢1,000
2 wk. agoSell0¢72
4 wk. agoSell100¢917
4 wk. agoSell0¢917
4 wk. agoSell100¢6
4 wk. agoSell0¢6
4 wk. agoSell100¢5
4 wk. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoSell100¢1
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢92
1 mo. agoBuy0¢92
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoSell100¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢1
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢4

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.