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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$2.1M

24h vol.

$5.44

1w vol.

$158.64

1m vol.

$5.8K

Liquidity

$364.4K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$10,515
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$193,018
0¢$68,281
0¢$9,408
1¢$565
1¢$11,665
1¢$3,519
1¢$616
1¢$565
1¢$835
1¢$290

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell100¢7
1 mo. agoSell0¢7
1 mo. agoSell100¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢51
1 mo. agoBuy0¢51
1 mo. agoSell100¢1
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoSell100¢1
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢1
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoSell100¢0
1 mo. agoSell0¢0
1 mo. agoSell100¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoSell100¢44
1 mo. agoSell0¢44
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoSell100¢1
1 mo. agoSell0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoSell100¢4
1 mo. agoSell0¢4
1 mo. agoBuy100¢4
1 mo. agoBuy0¢4
1 mo. agoSell0¢4,580
1 mo. agoBuy0¢4,580
1 mo. agoSell0¢15
1 mo. agoBuy0¢15
1 mo. agoSell0¢500
1 mo. agoBuy0¢500
1 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.