← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 2 wk. ago

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
0 %
chance
Next French Presidential Election
42 outcomes- Marine Le Pen47 %
- Édouard Philippe19 %
- David Lisnard12 %
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon11 %
- Raphaël Glucksmann5 %
- François Hollande2 %
- Gabriel Attal1 %
- Sarah Knafo1 %
- Bruno Retailleau1 %
- Christine Lagarde1 %
- Éric Zemmour1 %
- Jordan Bardella1 %
- Dominique de Villepin1 %
- Sébastien Lecornu0 %
- Karim Bouamrane0 %
- François Asselineau0 %
- Xavier Bertrand0 %
- François Ruffin0 %
- Jean Castex0 %
- Ségolène Royal0 %
- Marine Tondelier0 %
- Clémentine Autain0 %
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0 %
- Juan Branco0 %
- Yannick Jadot0 %
- Clémence Guetté0 %
- Mathilde Panot0 %
- Lucie Castets0 %
- Carole Delga0 %
- Manuel Bompard0 %
- François Bayrou0 %
- François Baroin0 %
- Gérald Darmanin0 %
- Valérie Pécresse0 %
- Fabien Roussel0 %
- Bernard Cazeneuve0 %
- Élisabeth Borne0 %
- Laurent Wauquiez0 %
- Michel Barnier0 %
- Yaël Braun-Pivet0 %
- Marion Maréchal0 %
- Olivier Faure0 %
Total volume
$6.3M
24h vol.
$4.3K
1w vol.
$374.9K
1m vol.
$509.2K
Liquidity
$67.1K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
End date
Apr 19, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,930 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 280 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 75 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 342 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 51 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 475 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 702 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 235 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 235 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 135 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 135 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 85 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 65 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 331,046 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.