Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 13 min. ago

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

1 %

chance

▲ +0.2%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$3.1M

24h vol.

$104.7K

1w vol.

$226.5K

1m vol.

$597K

Liquidity

$310.1K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$15,870
1¢$10,648
0¢$20,130
0¢$107,330
0¢$39,850
0¢$115,277
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$11,972
1¢$10,735
1¢$5,475
1¢$5,000
1¢$6,717
1¢$1,000
2¢$13,000
2¢$4,000
2¢$1,500
2¢$8,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 49%Sells 51%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell99¢0
2 hr. agoSell1¢0
3 hr. agoSell99¢1
3 hr. agoSell1¢1
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell99¢21
3 hr. agoSell1¢21
3 hr. agoBuy1¢3,000
3 hr. agoSell1¢382
3 hr. agoSell1¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy99¢21
3 hr. agoSell1¢100
3 hr. agoSell1¢100
3 hr. agoSell1¢397
4 hr. agoBuy1¢4,000
4 hr. agoSell1¢103
4 hr. agoSell1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢497
4 hr. agoSell99¢0
4 hr. agoSell1¢0
4 hr. agoBuy99¢1
4 hr. agoBuy1¢1
4 hr. agoSell1¢597
4 hr. agoBuy1¢496
4 hr. agoSell99¢101
6 hr. agoBuy1¢703
6 hr. agoSell1¢3
6 hr. agoSell1¢500
6 hr. agoSell1¢100
6 hr. agoSell1¢100
13 hr. agoSell99¢0
13 hr. agoSell1¢0
15 hr. agoSell99¢2
15 hr. agoSell1¢2

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.