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Updated 12 min. ago

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$2.8M

24h vol.

$35.1K

1w vol.

$149K

1m vol.

$608.1K

Liquidity

$218.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$31,893
0¢$11,680
0¢$37,057
0¢$134,750
0¢$241,926
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$13,808
1¢$7,474
1¢$7,395
1¢$9,000
2¢$10,000
2¢$885
2¢$2,520
2¢$11,450
2¢$952
3¢$160

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢500
2 hr. agoSell1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢500
2 hr. agoSell1¢500
2 hr. agoBuy1¢500
3 hr. agoSell1¢2,600
3 hr. agoBuy1¢2,600
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢150
3 hr. agoBuy1¢150
3 hr. agoSell1¢2,000
3 hr. agoBuy1¢2,000
3 hr. agoSell1¢500
3 hr. agoBuy1¢500
4 hr. agoSell1¢21
4 hr. agoBuy1¢21
4 hr. agoSell1¢1,900
4 hr. agoBuy1¢1,900
4 hr. agoSell1¢2,000
4 hr. agoBuy1¢2,000
4 hr. agoSell1¢2,100
4 hr. agoBuy1¢2,100
5 hr. agoSell1¢100
5 hr. agoBuy1¢100
10 hr. agoSell1¢7
10 hr. agoBuy1¢7
18 hr. agoBuy1¢12,813
18 hr. agoSell1¢1,970
18 hr. agoSell1¢43
18 hr. agoSell1¢2,000
18 hr. agoSell1¢2,000
18 hr. agoSell1¢699
18 hr. agoSell1¢101
18 hr. agoSell1¢6,000
18 hr. agoSell0¢130
18 hr. agoBuy0¢130
18 hr. agoSell0¢100
18 hr. agoBuy0¢100
19 hr. agoSell0¢100
19 hr. agoBuy0¢100
20 hr. agoSell0¢100
20 hr. agoBuy0¢100
20 hr. agoSell0¢100
20 hr. agoBuy0¢100

◆ Smart money

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A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.