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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
0 %
chance
Next French Presidential Election
42 outcomes- Marine Le Pen47 %
- Édouard Philippe19 %
- David Lisnard12 %
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon11 %
- Raphaël Glucksmann5 %
- François Hollande2 %
- Gabriel Attal1 %
- Sarah Knafo1 %
- Bruno Retailleau1 %
- Christine Lagarde1 %
- Éric Zemmour1 %
- Jordan Bardella1 %
- Dominique de Villepin1 %
- Sébastien Lecornu0 %
- Karim Bouamrane0 %
- François Asselineau0 %
- Xavier Bertrand0 %
- François Ruffin0 %
- Jean Castex0 %
- Ségolène Royal0 %
- Marine Tondelier0 %
- Clémentine Autain0 %
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0 %
- Juan Branco0 %
- Yannick Jadot0 %
- Clémence Guetté0 %
- Mathilde Panot0 %
- Lucie Castets0 %
- Carole Delga0 %
- Manuel Bompard0 %
- François Bayrou0 %
- François Baroin0 %
- Gérald Darmanin0 %
- Valérie Pécresse0 %
- Fabien Roussel0 %
- Bernard Cazeneuve0 %
- Élisabeth Borne0 %
- Laurent Wauquiez0 %
- Michel Barnier0 %
- Yaël Braun-Pivet0 %
- Marion Maréchal0 %
- Olivier Faure0 %
Total volume
$5.2M
24h vol.
$1K
1w vol.
$6K
1m vol.
$361.6K
Liquidity
$234.3K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Nov 13, 2025
End date
Apr 19, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,606 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,606 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 148,394 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 148,394 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 81,587 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 294 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 103,951 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 12,169 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,010 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,010 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 37 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,824 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 294 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
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A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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