Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$6.2M

24h vol.

$17.7K

1w vol.

$26.1K

1m vol.

$183.8K

Liquidity

$740.9K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$855
0¢$518,005
0¢$11,147
0¢$527
1¢$3,037
1¢$2,527
1¢$527
1¢$527
1¢$2,027
1¢$9,603

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell0¢147,516
4 wk. agoBuy0¢100,000
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1,000
4 wk. agoBuy0¢46,516
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢1
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoSell100¢0
4 wk. agoSell0¢0
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢1
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢1
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢1
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢10
4 wk. agoBuy0¢10
4 wk. agoSell100¢4
4 wk. agoSell0¢4
4 wk. agoBuy100¢4
4 wk. agoBuy0¢4
4 wk. agoSell100¢3
4 wk. agoSell0¢3
4 wk. agoBuy100¢3
4 wk. agoBuy0¢3
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢1
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoSell100¢2
4 wk. agoSell0¢2
4 wk. agoBuy100¢2
4 wk. agoBuy0¢2
4 wk. agoSell100¢1
4 wk. agoSell0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢1
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoSell100¢5
4 wk. agoSell0¢5
4 wk. agoBuy100¢5
4 wk. agoBuy0¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.