Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 21 hr. ago

Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$2M

24h vol.

$17.3K

1w vol.

$145.8K

1m vol.

$290.1K

Liquidity

$82.6K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$40,163
0¢$955
0¢$755
1¢$755
1¢$3,198
1¢$2,564
1¢$1,150
1¢$1,405
1¢$955
1¢$756

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell100¢1
1 day agoSell0¢1
1 day agoSell100¢0
1 day agoSell0¢0
1 day agoSell0¢1,335
1 day agoBuy0¢1,335
1 day agoSell0¢101
1 day agoBuy0¢101
1 day agoSell0¢4
1 day agoBuy0¢4
1 day agoSell100¢1
1 day agoSell0¢1
1 day agoBuy100¢1
1 day agoBuy0¢1
1 day agoSell100¢2
1 day agoSell0¢2
1 day agoBuy100¢2
1 day agoBuy0¢2
1 day agoBuy100¢1
1 day agoBuy0¢1
1 day agoSell100¢53
1 day agoSell0¢53
1 day agoBuy100¢42
1 day agoBuy0¢42
1 day agoSell0¢650
1 day agoBuy0¢650
1 day agoSell0¢650
1 day agoBuy0¢650
1 day agoSell0¢650
1 day agoBuy0¢650
1 day agoSell0¢650
1 day agoBuy0¢650
1 day agoSell0¢2,600
1 day agoBuy0¢2,600
1 day agoBuy100¢11
1 day agoBuy0¢11
1 day agoSell0¢2,600
1 day agoBuy0¢2,600
1 day agoSell0¢2,600
1 day agoBuy0¢2,600
1 day agoSell0¢2,600
1 day agoBuy0¢2,600
1 day agoSell0¢2,600
1 day agoBuy0¢2,600
1 day agoSell100¢2
1 day agoSell0¢2
1 day agoBuy100¢2
1 day agoBuy0¢2
1 day agoSell100¢2
1 day agoSell0¢2

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.