Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$5.3M

24h vol.

$1.4

1w vol.

$4.8K

1m vol.

$5.5K

Liquidity

$599.3K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$181,639
0¢$362,138
0¢$10,812
0¢$1,503
1¢$509
1¢$1,440
1¢$7,985
1¢$2,818
1¢$503
1¢$523

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell100¢12
1 mo. agoSell0¢12
1 mo. agoSell100¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoSell100¢13
1 mo. agoSell0¢13
1 mo. agoSell100¢38
1 mo. agoSell0¢38
1 mo. agoSell100¢36
1 mo. agoSell0¢36
1 mo. agoSell100¢41
1 mo. agoSell0¢41
1 mo. agoSell100¢20
1 mo. agoSell0¢20
1 mo. agoSell100¢7
1 mo. agoSell0¢7
1 mo. agoSell0¢40,964
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢353
1 mo. agoBuy0¢29,410
1 mo. agoSell100¢201
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢3,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢4,994
1 mo. agoSell0¢4,506
1 mo. agoBuy0¢4,506
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000
1 mo. agoSell100¢6
1 mo. agoSell0¢6
1 mo. agoBuy100¢6
1 mo. agoBuy0¢6
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢100
1 mo. agoBuy0¢100
1 mo. agoSell0¢2,000
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2,000

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.