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Updated 10 hr. ago

Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
20 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
22 outcomes- The Odyssey97 %
- La Bola Negra94 %
- Wild Horse Nine91 %
- Dune: Part Three87 %
- The Debut82 %
- Project Hail Mary80 %
- You Can See Everything71 %
- I Play Rocky68 %
- The Invite57 %
- Fjord39 %
- All of a Sudden36 %
- Obsession34 %
- Elsinore31 %
- Behemoth!21 %
- Digger20 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth18 %
- Michael12 %
- Avengers: Doomsday12 %
- Disclosure Day8 %
- Fatherland4 %
- The Social Reckoning4 %
- The Drama3 %
Total volume
$20.5K
24h vol.
$5.8K
1w vol.
$8.6K
1m vol.
$18.2K
Liquidity
$7K
Bid / Ask
19¢ / 21¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
21¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Jan 21, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 10 |
| 11 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 10 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 10 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 10 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 39 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 39 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 1 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1 |
| 18 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6 |
| 18 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 6 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 7 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 7 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 15 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 15 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 26 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 26 |
| 21 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 19 |
| 21 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 19 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 20¢ | 37 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 37 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 20¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 20¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 20¢ | 18 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 21¢ | 19 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 21¢ | 19 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 21¢ | 26 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 21¢ | 23 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 21¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 80¢ | 4 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 81¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 9 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 11 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 11 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 500 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 500 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 29 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 82¢ | 29 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 82¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 82¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 21¢ | 92 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 21¢ | 92 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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