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Updated 7 min. ago
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
71 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
22 outcomes- The Odyssey97 %
- La Bola Negra94 %
- Wild Horse Nine91 %
- Dune: Part Three87 %
- The Debut82 %
- Project Hail Mary80 %
- You Can See Everything71 %
- I Play Rocky68 %
- The Invite57 %
- Fjord39 %
- All of a Sudden36 %
- Obsession34 %
- Elsinore31 %
- Behemoth!21 %
- Digger20 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth18 %
- Michael12 %
- Avengers: Doomsday12 %
- Disclosure Day8 %
- Fatherland4 %
- The Social Reckoning4 %
- The Drama3 %
Total volume
$21.9K
24h vol.
$8.9K
1w vol.
$20.1K
1m vol.
$21.9K
Liquidity
$27.9K
Bid / Ask
70¢ / 71¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
71¢
Start date
Oct 6, 2026
End date
Jan 22, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 10 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 1 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 1 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 18 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 18 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 3,000 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 517 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 360 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 160 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 500 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 878 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 117 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 293 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 100 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 75 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 106 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 106 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 498 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 205 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 293 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 370 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 370 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 0 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 10 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 13 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 13 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 200 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 160 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 10 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 30 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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