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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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21 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +12.5%24h▲ +10.0%1W
Yes 21¢No 80¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 outcomes

Total volume

$5.3K

24h vol.

$1.9K

1w vol.

$2.5K

1m vol.

$3.7K

Liquidity

$816.438

Bid / Ask

19¢ / 22¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

May 27, 2026

End date

Jan 21, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$50
6¢$21
5¢$109
3¢$8
2¢$161
1¢$261
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$6
14¢$40
15¢$20
16¢$40
19¢$40
20¢$20
21¢$80
22¢$20
23¢$5
94¢$8

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy13¢38
1 mo. agoBuy87¢38
1 mo. agoBuy7¢10
1 mo. agoSell7¢10
1 mo. agoSell91¢8
1 mo. agoBuy91¢8
1 mo. agoBuy90¢11
1 mo. agoBuy10¢11
1 mo. agoSell89¢10
1 mo. agoBuy89¢10
1 mo. agoSell18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoSell18¢40
1 mo. agoBuy18¢40
1 mo. agoBuy80¢121
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy20¢102
1 mo. agoBuy79¢123
1 mo. agoBuy20¢23
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20
1 mo. agoBuy22¢20
1 mo. agoBuy78¢100
1 mo. agoBuy22¢60
1 mo. agoBuy22¢20
1 mo. agoBuy22¢20
1 mo. agoSell22¢14
1 mo. agoBuy22¢14
1 mo. agoSell22¢14
1 mo. agoBuy22¢14
1 mo. agoBuy78¢14
1 mo. agoBuy22¢14
1 mo. agoSell77¢14
1 mo. agoSell23¢14
1 mo. agoSell77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢4
1 mo. agoSell23¢1
1 mo. agoBuy78¢5
1 mo. agoBuy22¢5
1 mo. agoSell77¢5
1 mo. agoSell23¢5
1 mo. agoSell77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy77¢5
1 mo. agoSell23¢14
1 mo. agoBuy23¢14
1 mo. agoSell23¢14
1 mo. agoBuy23¢14
1 mo. agoBuy77¢14

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A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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