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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Other

3 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.5%1W

Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$730.191

24h vol.

$11.25

1w vol.

$191.289

1m vol.

$258.289

Liquidity

$396.778

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 5¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

May 27, 2026

End date

Jan 21, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 12¢

Bids (buy)Size

4¢$5

3¢$19

2¢$259

1¢$274

Asks (sell)Size

16¢$200

17¢$9

18¢$50

19¢$5

48¢$100

49¢$150

84¢$200

85¢$120

92¢$7

93¢$800

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (26)

Buys 87%Sells 13%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
4 wk. ago	Buy	89¢	20
4 wk. ago	Buy	11¢	20
1 mo. ago	Sell	94¢	12
1 mo. ago	Buy	94¢	12
2 mo. ago	Buy	18¢	6
2 mo. ago	Sell	18¢	6
3 mo. ago	Sell	5¢	7
3 mo. ago	Buy	5¢	7
3 mo. ago	Buy	72¢	7
3 mo. ago	Buy	28¢	7
3 mo. ago	Sell	5¢	6
3 mo. ago	Buy	5¢	1
3 mo. ago	Buy	5¢	5
3 mo. ago	Buy	72¢	6
3 mo. ago	Buy	28¢	6
3 mo. ago	Sell	5¢	7
3 mo. ago	Buy	5¢	2
3 mo. ago	Buy	5¢	5
3 mo. ago	Buy	73¢	7
3 mo. ago	Buy	27¢	7
4 mo. ago	Buy	82¢	10
4 mo. ago	Buy	18¢	10
4 mo. ago	Buy	42¢	12
4 mo. ago	Buy	58¢	12
4 mo. ago	Buy	80¢	40
4 mo. ago	Buy	20¢	40

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