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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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80 %

chance

▼ −3.5%24h▼ −3.5%1W
Yes 80¢No 20¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 outcomes

Total volume

$3.6K

24h vol.

$1.5K

1w vol.

$1.5K

1m vol.

$1.9K

Liquidity

$4.5K

Bid / Ask

79¢ / 81¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

80¢

Start date

May 27, 2026

End date

Jan 21, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
78¢$691
77¢$553
76¢$26
75¢$5
60¢$8
44¢$30
18¢$20
10¢$120
6¢$10
5¢$290
Asks (sell)Size
79¢$227
80¢$410
81¢$145
88¢$50
89¢$20
90¢$21
97¢$24
98¢$120
99¢$15

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell21¢9
1 mo. agoBuy21¢9
1 mo. agoBuy79¢9
1 mo. agoBuy21¢9
1 mo. agoBuy79¢9
1 mo. agoBuy21¢9
1 mo. agoBuy22¢7
1 mo. agoBuy78¢7
1 mo. agoSell78¢6
1 mo. agoBuy78¢6
1 mo. agoSell78¢15
1 mo. agoBuy78¢6
1 mo. agoSell22¢9
1 mo. agoBuy77¢17
1 mo. agoBuy23¢17
1 mo. agoBuy19¢10
1 mo. agoSell19¢2
1 mo. agoSell19¢8
1 mo. agoSell76¢27
1 mo. agoBuy76¢15
1 mo. agoSell24¢12
1 mo. agoSell23¢20
1 mo. agoBuy23¢8
1 mo. agoBuy23¢12
1 mo. agoBuy77¢8
1 mo. agoBuy23¢8
1 mo. agoBuy77¢27
1 mo. agoBuy23¢19
1 mo. agoBuy23¢8
1 mo. agoBuy77¢12
1 mo. agoBuy23¢12
1 mo. agoBuy77¢12
1 mo. agoBuy23¢11
1 mo. agoBuy23¢1
1 mo. agoBuy77¢12
1 mo. agoBuy23¢12
1 mo. agoSell76¢3
1 mo. agoBuy76¢3
1 mo. agoBuy77¢3
1 mo. agoBuy23¢3
1 mo. agoSell76¢3
1 mo. agoSell24¢3
1 mo. agoBuy77¢3
1 mo. agoBuy23¢3
1 mo. agoSell76¢6
1 mo. agoBuy76¢6
1 mo. agoSell76¢5
1 mo. agoSell24¢5
1 mo. agoBuy76¢6
1 mo. agoBuy24¢6

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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