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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
91 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
22 outcomes- The Odyssey97 %
- La Bola Negra94 %
- Wild Horse Nine91 %
- Dune: Part Three87 %
- The Debut82 %
- Project Hail Mary80 %
- You Can See Everything71 %
- I Play Rocky68 %
- The Invite57 %
- Fjord39 %
- All of a Sudden36 %
- Obsession34 %
- Elsinore31 %
- Behemoth!21 %
- Digger20 %
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth18 %
- Michael12 %
- Avengers: Doomsday12 %
- Disclosure Day8 %
- Fatherland4 %
- The Social Reckoning4 %
- The Drama3 %
Total volume
$6.9K
24h vol.
$236.1
1w vol.
$550.162
1m vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Bid / Ask
90¢ / 92¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
89¢
Start date
May 27, 2026
End date
Jan 21, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 105 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 105 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 172 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 184 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 13¢ | 94 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 85¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
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