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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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91 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +10.5%1W
Yes 91¢No 9¢

Total volume

$6.9K

24h vol.

$236.1

1w vol.

$550.162

1m vol.

$1.1K

Liquidity

$1.5K

Bid / Ask

90¢ / 92¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

89¢

Start date

May 27, 2026

End date

Jan 21, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
89¢$44
83¢$38
81¢$120
80¢$320
79¢$120
74¢$50
73¢$100
72¢$621
67¢$1,010
63¢$200
Asks (sell)Size
94¢$30
95¢$68
96¢$92
98¢$22
99¢$1,267

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy91¢20
1 mo. agoBuy9¢20
1 mo. agoSell90¢11
1 mo. agoSell10¢11
1 mo. agoBuy10¢21
1 mo. agoBuy90¢11
1 mo. agoSell9¢10
1 mo. agoSell10¢5
1 mo. agoSell90¢5
1 mo. agoSell10¢15
1 mo. agoSell90¢15
1 mo. agoBuy87¢105
1 mo. agoSell87¢105
1 mo. agoSell13¢20
1 mo. agoSell87¢20
1 mo. agoBuy86¢172
1 mo. agoBuy14¢20
1 mo. agoBuy14¢100
1 mo. agoSell86¢52
1 mo. agoSell14¢7
1 mo. agoSell86¢7
1 mo. agoSell14¢1
1 mo. agoSell86¢1
1 mo. agoBuy87¢184
1 mo. agoSell87¢15
1 mo. agoBuy13¢94
1 mo. agoBuy14¢5
1 mo. agoSell86¢52
1 mo. agoSell86¢19
1 mo. agoBuy16¢11
1 mo. agoBuy84¢11
1 mo. agoBuy16¢7
1 mo. agoSell16¢7
1 mo. agoBuy86¢8
1 mo. agoSell86¢8
1 mo. agoBuy86¢6
1 mo. agoSell86¢6
1 mo. agoBuy86¢19
1 mo. agoSell86¢7
1 mo. agoSell86¢12
1 mo. agoBuy17¢10
1 mo. agoSell17¢10
1 mo. agoBuy86¢19
1 mo. agoSell86¢19
1 mo. agoBuy85¢18
1 mo. agoBuy15¢18
1 mo. agoBuy85¢60
1 mo. agoSell85¢60
1 mo. agoSell16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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