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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

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4 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −1.3%24h▼ −2.6%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

22 outcomes

Total volume

$8.1K

24h vol.

$1.041

1w vol.

$640.441

1m vol.

$2.5K

Liquidity

$1.1K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 6¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

May 27, 2026

End date

Jan 21, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$109
11¢$15
10¢$521
7¢$6
6¢$50
5¢$50
4¢$544
3¢$1,020
2¢$28
1¢$360
Asks (sell)Size
16¢$49
17¢$20
23¢$105
24¢$6
27¢$8
28¢$46
31¢$103
42¢$100
43¢$60
52¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 89%Sells 11%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell12¢2
1 mo. agoBuy12¢2
1 mo. agoBuy14¢25
1 mo. agoBuy86¢25
1 mo. agoBuy14¢45
1 mo. agoBuy86¢45
1 mo. agoBuy16¢6
1 mo. agoSell16¢6
1 mo. agoBuy16¢10
1 mo. agoSell16¢10
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy84¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢20
1 mo. agoSell16¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢10
1 mo. agoSell13¢10
1 mo. agoSell17¢45
1 mo. agoBuy17¢45
1 mo. agoSell17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoSell17¢80
1 mo. agoBuy17¢60
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy81¢604
1 mo. agoBuy18¢231
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢106
1 mo. agoBuy19¢82
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoSell81¢5
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy19¢20
1 mo. agoBuy82¢20
1 mo. agoBuy18¢20
1 mo. agoBuy21¢10
1 mo. agoBuy79¢10
1 mo. agoSell79¢7
1 mo. agoBuy79¢7
1 mo. agoBuy21¢7
1 mo. agoBuy79¢7
1 mo. agoBuy19¢8
1 mo. agoBuy81¢8
1 mo. agoBuy19¢49
1 mo. agoBuy81¢49
1 mo. agoSell81¢10

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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